NBA Betting Free Picks (Wednesday February 11, 2009)

Gambling911.com has a free pick for all your NBA betting needs.

Play the UNDER LA Clippers on the first half total in homes games vs. good offensive teams that score 99 or more points per game the 2^nd half of the season.

Why?  The Overs in this scenario are 1-17.  Wow!  This is over a three season period.

The Under at Sportsbook.com is 111.5.

.....The Memphis Grizzlies are struggling again this season but they are backed by a powerful betting system tonight at the Philadelphia 76ers.

Memphis is 15-36, having fired coach Marc Iavaroni and bringing in retread Lionel Hollins, but they are on a roll of late.  

Last season, the Memphis front office saw they were going nowhere and decided to start over. They traded Pau Gasol and Mike Miller and determined they would rebuild with a collection of players who were all very successful in college or Europe. The senior member of the team is Hakim Warrick, who is at the ripe old age of 25.

The losses mounted with these young players, and Memphis was dull and in the process of a 1-13 January before making the move to Hollins.

While Hollins is highly regarded as an assistant, his head coaching skills have come into question in the past. Based on early results, he might have found the right type of team to allow his skills to shine.

Since flipping the calendar to February, Memphis has won four of five (4-1 ATS), actually playing defense. For most of the season, the Grizz have been the worst team in the NBA in field goal defense.

In three of their four wins, they have held the opposing team to under 40% shooting, including under 30% in the last two wins over Toronto and New Orleans.

Maybe it's Hollins' mix of old-school discipline and common sense derived from his playing days. The Grizzlies are winning because their defense has improved, the offensive execution is better, and the little things that win or lose games are being done to Hollins' satisfaction, giving Memphis a chance.

However, the last four games have been played at the FedEx Forum and now the test will be to play this well on the road against one of the hotter teams in the NBA, Philadelphia.

The Sixers are 13-4 and 11-4-2 ATS since January 6^th, and have moved over .500 at 26-24 and into seventh position in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Philadelphia has allowed just 92.4 PPG in their last 15 contests.

Philly is an 11-point home favorite with a Total of 187 according to Sportsbook.com, and is up against a rather severe system in the NBA.

"Play On Underdogs of 10 or more points - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against  opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games."

The point this system is making is that the two teams have played very solid defense for a period of time. With the score expected to be lower, the double digit points might be too much for the favorite to surpass.

This super situation is 27-5 ATS, or 84.4% since 1996. This has been particularly sharp over the last three years at 10-1 ATS.

Forget any money line action on Memphis though, as the underdog is just 4-28 straight-up.