Vicars in Trouble Odds to Win Kentucky Derby: He’s in Trouble From Number 1 Spot

Submitted by Don Shapiro on

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Don Shapiro

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You’ve heard the pretty bad name calling with Vicars in Trouble with pundits insisting that Vicars IS in Trouble after being handed the dreaded number one post position.  His odds of winning this year's Derby are not very good.  Sign up today at AceSportsbook.com, and they will match your initial deposit with a 100% Free PlayLive In-Play Wagering and Mobile Gambling Available. 

Maddux Sports explains the rationale behind not wanting to start from the number one spot:

It’s by far the worst position – no other one is even close. The reasoning makes sense – every horse wants to get to the rail as quickly as possible because it’s the shortest distance around the track, so the one horse is going to be under attack from the start. When he faces that attack he can’t really do anything about it because the rail limits his movement. That means that to avoid the rush he has just two options – to go really fast to get clear on the front, or to drop back hard. Neither is likely to set the horse up well later on, and it’s almost certain that he’ll get caught in trouble. The odds for the number one horse will almost always be higher than they would be in any other post, and there is a good reason for that.

Interestingly enough, Vicars in Trouble was coming in at 25-1 odds, which is right where he started from prior to the post position draw.

Vicars in Trouble enjoyed a superb race at the Louisiana Derby, netting a 104 Speed rating.

He’ll be ridden by female jockey Rosie Napravnik and that always adds an element of intrigue. 

Other than the feared post position, Vicars in Trouble is bred to run a mile and may not have what it takes to go all the way in Saturday’s Kentucky Derby.

 

 

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

THE 2014 KENTUCKY DERBY (TO WIN) - May 02

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33301

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

CALIFORNIA CHROME

+225

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33302

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

CANDY BOY

+1500

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33303

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

CHITU

+2000

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33304

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

COMMANDING CURVE

+6500

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33305

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

DANCE WITH FATE

+2000

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33306

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

DANZA

+800

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33307

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

GENERAL A ROD

+1500

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33308

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

HARRYS HOLIDAY

+6500

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33310

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INTENSE HOLIDAY

+800

 

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33311

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MEDAL COUNT

+2000

 

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33312

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PABLO DEL MONTE

+6000

 

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33313

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RIDE ON CURLIN

+1500

 

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33314

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SAMRAAT

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33315

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TAPITURE

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33316

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UNCLE SIGH

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May 02 - 12:00 PM

33317

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VICARS IN TROUBLE

+2500

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33318

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

VINCEREMOS

+5500

 

May 02 - 12:00 PM

33319

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WE MISS ARTIE

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33320

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WICKED STRONG

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May 02 - 12:00 PM

33321

HORSE TO WIN THE KENTUCKY DERBY

WILDCAT RED

+1500

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

 

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