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President Biden's odds of being the Democratic presidential nominee have fallen sharply during the past week, and his re-election odds have worsened as well.
Biden was a -900 favorite to be the Dem nominee in 2024, but those odds have dropped to -275, currently.
And according to Presidential Election markets offered by BetOnline.ag, Biden is a +235 underdog behind the favorite, Donald Trump Sr., who has -110 odds. Biden and Trump both had around +130 odds last summer so the gap has widened significantly.
Of course, much has been made of Biden's age and mental aptitude recently, which has directly impacted the oddsmakers' projections. The website even went so far as to offer a prop bet for what Biden would score on a dementia test.
The option for "moderate dementia" is the favorite. However, "severe dementia" is a longshot, but "no dementia" has even longer odds.
Joe Biden Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) Score
13-19 (Moderate Dementia) +150
12 or less (Severe Dementia) +450
25-30 (No Impairment) +500
BetOnline even released the results of a X (Twitter) study that showed which states were the most concerned with Biden's age.
The data was derived by tracking geotagged tweets, hashtags and direct keyword phrases about President Biden during the last 90 days. For example, it tracked phrases such as, "Joe Biden is too old," "Biden is too old to run," "Joe Biden's age," etc.
Election Odds
2024 Presidential Election
Donald Trump Sr. -110
Joe Biden +235
Michelle Obama +700
Gavin Newsom +1000
Kamala Harris +2200
Nikki Haley +2200
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. +2700
2024 Democratic Nominee
Joe Biden -250
Michelle Obama +375
Gavin Newsom +650
Kamala Harris +900
2024 Republican Nominee
Donald Trump Sr. -5000
Nikki Haley +1200
Ron DeSantis +12500
Tucker Carlson +12500
Donald Trump Jr. +30000
Ivanka Trump +30000
Joe Biden Approval Rating on March 1, 2024
38.00-38.99% +225
Under 37% +225
37.00-37.99% +250
39.00-39.99% +450
40.00-40.99% +1200
41.00-41.99% +3000
42% or Higher +8000
- BetOnline Press
