Bet on Every State November 2024 Election Wins for President: Trump vs. Harris
The conventions are over. The candidates are confirmed.
The race to 270 electoral votes starts in exactly 70 days.
BetOnline.ag posted winning-party odds for each of the 50 states Monday morning.
You can find the complete list below the notes, as well as each state's implied probability of going to the Democrats or Republicans (calculated via the odds).
NOTES:
- Democrats are favored to win 22 states
- Republicans are favored to win 26 states
- Nevada and Pennsylvania are both a tossup
CLOSEST STATES (outside of Nevada/Pennsylvania):
- Arizona (54.5% Republican)
- Wisconsin (60% Democrat)
- Georgia (60.8% Republican)
- North Carolina (63% Republican)
- Michigan (64.3% Democrat)
2024 State-by-State Party Odds
Alabama
Republicans -10000
Democrats +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Alaska
Republicans -2500
Democrats +1200
Note: Odds imply a 96.2% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Arizona
Republicans -120
Democrats -110
Note: Odds imply a 54.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Arkansas
Republicans -20000
Democrats +4000
Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.
California
Democrats -10000
Republicans +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Colorado
Democrats -2500
Republicans +1200
Note: Odds imply a 96.2% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Connecticut
Democrats -10000
Republicans +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Delaware
Democrats -10000
Republicans +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Florida
Republicans -1000
Democrats +600
Note: Odds imply an 90.9% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Georgia
Republicans -155
Democrats +125
Note: Odds imply a 60.8% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Hawaii
Democrats -10000
Republicans +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Idaho
Republicans -20000
Democrats +4000
Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Illinois
Democrats -10000
Republicans +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Indiana
Republicans -5000
Democrats +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Iowa
Republicans -2000
Democrats +1000
Note: Odds imply a 95.2% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Kansas
Republicans -5000
Democrats +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Kentucky
Republicans -5000
Democrats +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Louisiana
Republicans -7500
Democrats +2000
Note: Odds imply a 98.7% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Maine
Democrats -700
Republicans +500
Note: Odds imply an 87.5% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Maryland
Democrats -5000
Republicans +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Massachusetts
Democrats -5000
Republicans +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Michigan
Democrats -180
Republicans +150
Note: Odds imply a 64.3% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Minnesota
Democrats -2000
Republicans +1000
Note: Odds imply a 95.2% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Mississippi
Republicans -10000
Democrats +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Missouri
Republicans -10000
Democrats +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Montana
Republicans -10000
Democrats +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Nebraska
Republicans -5000
Democrats +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Nevada
Democrats -115
Republicans -115
Note: Odds imply this state is a tossup.
New Hampshire
Democrats -700
Republicans +500
Note: Odds imply an 87.5% probability of Democrats taking the state.
New Jersey
Democrats -5000
Republicans +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.
New Mexico
Democrats -1500
Republicans +750
Note: Odds imply a 93.8% probability of Democrats taking the state.
New York
Democrats -5000
Republicans +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.
North Carolina
Republicans -170
Democrats +140
Note: Odds imply a 63.0% probability of Republicans taking the state.
North Dakota
Republicans -20000
Democrats +4000
Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Ohio
Republicans -1400
Democrats +700
Note: Odds imply a 93.3% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Oklahoma
Republicans -20000
Democrats +4000
Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Oregon
Democrats -3000
Republicans +1400
Note: Odds imply a 96.8% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Pennsylvania
Democrats -115
Republicans -115
Note: Odds imply this state is a tossup.
Rhode Island
Democrats -5000
Republicans +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.
South Carolina
Republicans -10000
Democrats +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.
South Dakota
Republicans -20000
Democrats +4000
Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Tennessee
Republicans -10000
Democrats +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Texas
Republicans -1000
Democrats +600
Note: Odds imply an 90.9% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Utah
Republicans -5000
Democrats +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Vermont
Democrats -10000
Republicans +2500
Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Virginia
Democrats -700
Republicans +450
Note: Odds imply an 87.5% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Washington
Democrats -5000
Republicans +1600
Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.
West Virginia
Republicans -20000
Democrats +4000
Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.
Wisconsin
Democrats -150
Republicans +120
Note: Odds imply a 60% probability of Democrats taking the state.
Wyoming
Republicans -20000
Democrats +4000
Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.
