Odds on Elena Kagan as Next US Supreme Court Justice

The betting markets give Elena Kagan a 41 percent chance of being sworn in as the next US Supreme Court Justice.  That's what the customers at intrade.com are gambling on at least.

Kagan is is Solicitor General of the United States. She is the first woman to hold that office.

Already there are controversies, her sexuality being one, but more specifically she is opposed to "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" and this is said to already have some Conservatives fuming. 

President Obama is yet to announce who might be on his short list.