Trump's Odds Best Since Assassination Attempt, Popular Vote Volatility

The pollsters don't agree with the bookmakers.

While the polls show the presidential race as more of a tossup, betting firms have been moving Donald Trump to more and more of a favorite over the past 18 days.

BetOnline.ag has Trump priced with -200 odds to take the election, which equates to an implied probability of about 65%. Those are his lowest odds since July 14, the day after the assassination attempt when his chances moved to -300.

The popular vote odds have been incredibly head-scratching. It's been a long time since a Republican candidate won the popular vote, but the current projections suggest it isn't a foregone conclusion.

"We just continue to see money coming in for Trump to win the pop vote," BetOnline.ag political analyst Paul Krishnamurty said. "We're not saying these are the true or accurate odds, but because of the support Trump is receiving we have to continue to lower the Democratic price. We'll incur a significant loss if Trump somehow pulls off the upset, so we're trying to attract Harris money."

Trump's Election Odds Timeline

Oct. 10: -130

Oct. 13: -140

Oct. 15: -160

Oct. 22: -170

Oct. 26: -180

Oct. 28: -200

Harris' Popular Vote Odds Timeline

Oct. 16: -350

Oct. 21: -250

Oct. 25: -200

Oct. 28: -180

Current Election Odds

Donald Trump   -200

Kamala Harris   +170

Current Popular Vote Odds

Donald Trump   +150

Kamala Harris   -180