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On Wednesday October 4, Donald Trump had 25/1 odds to be voted in as the next Speaker of the House.
Today, the former POTUS' odds have been slashed to 12/1.
SportsBetting.ag is reporting that Trump has generated a "decent amount" of wagers for the SOH market from its customers, but he isn't the most bet candidate to date.
Jim Jordan, who entered the field at 40/1 yesterday, is now down to 3/1 odds. Jordan is the bookmaker's largest liability.
Tom Emmer has been backed by bettors almost as many times as Trump, but his odds have risen from 10/1 Tuesday night to 33/1 today.
Below are the latest odds, and you can also find comments from the website's political odds analyst, Paul Krishnamurty, regarding the Speaker options.
If you are able to use this information, please consider citing the source.
Next Speaker of the House
Steve Scalise 5/6
Jim Jordan 3/1
Donald Trump Sr. 12/1
Elise Stefanik 14/1
Kevin Hern 16/1
Mike Johnson 18/1
Patrick McHenry 18/1
Hakeem Jeffries 20/1
Tom Cole 20/1
Byron Donalds 33/1
Tom Emmer 33/1
Jodey Arrington 40/1
Lee Zeldin 40/1
Garret Graves 50/1
Scott Perry 50/1
Brian Fitzpatrick 100/1
Gary Palmer 100/1
Marjorie Taylor Greene 100/1
Matt Gaetz 100/1
Rich Hudson 100/1
Lauren Boebert 200/1
Paul Gosar 200/1
Will the next Speaker of House be elected before Oct. 12?
Yes 1/2
No 3/2
Will there be a U.S. Government shutdown in 2023?
Yes 1/1
No 1/1
"More than a dozen names are being circulated in the race to succeed Kevin McCarthy as Speaker. That number will whittle down to probably a handful by the time voting starts next week, and there is a very clear frontrunner," Krishnamurty said. "Majority Leader Steve Scalise is the most senior and logical replacement, but his battle with blood cancer had cast a major doubt over whether or not he will run. It is notable that Matt Gaetz named Scalise as somebody whom he would consider supporting, thus suggesting this is one of very few candidates who could get support across this very divided caucus.
"Among many rivals, Kevin Hern has signaled he’d be interested and, as Chair of the Republican Study Committee (which includes three-quarters of GOP congressman), appears very plausible. Moreso than confirmed runner Jim Jordan, who would likely be too divisive.
"Several GOP voices have called for Donald Trump to step in but that seems unlikely for various reasons. First, he’s said repeatedly he doesn’t want it. Second, he is tied up with court cases for the foreseeable future. Third, this would be an unconventional Presidential election plan, even by his standards.
"Finally, I wouldn’t completely rule out Hakeem Jeffries. The GOP are so bitterly divided and as McCarthy’s election and defenestration showed, they are far from sure to be capable of uniting around anybody. The longer it continues, the greater chance that a few moderates switch over to the Democrat candidate."
- SportsBetting.ag Press
