Trump Speaker Odds Set at 12-1

Written by:
Press Release
Published on:
Oct/05/2023

On Wednesday October 4, Donald Trump had 25/1 odds to be voted in as the next Speaker of the House.

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Today, the former POTUS' odds have been slashed to 12/1.

SportsBetting.ag is reporting that Trump has generated a "decent amount" of wagers for the SOH market from its customers, but he isn't the most bet candidate to date.

Jim Jordan, who entered the field at 40/1 yesterday, is now down to 3/1 odds. Jordan is the bookmaker's largest liability.

Tom Emmer has been backed by bettors almost as many times as Trump, but his odds have risen from 10/1 Tuesday night to 33/1 today.

Below are the latest odds, and you can also find comments from the website's political odds analyst, Paul Krishnamurty, regarding the Speaker options.

If you are able to use this information, please consider citing the source.

 

Next Speaker of the House                  

Steve Scalise                 5/6

Jim Jordan                    3/1

Donald Trump Sr.          12/1

Elise Stefanik                14/1

Kevin Hern                    16/1

Mike Johnson               18/1

Patrick McHenry           18/1

Hakeem Jeffries            20/1

Tom Cole                      20/1

Byron Donalds              33/1

Tom Emmer                  33/1

Jodey Arrington            40/1

Lee Zeldin                     40/1

Garret Graves               50/1

Scott Perry                    50/1

Brian Fitzpatrick            100/1

Gary Palmer                  100/1

Marjorie Taylor Greene 100/1

Matt Gaetz                   100/1

Rich Hudson                 100/1

Lauren Boebert             200/1

Paul Gosar                    200/1

                       

Will the next Speaker of House be elected before Oct. 12?                   

Yes       1/2

No        3/2

 

Will there be a U.S. Government shutdown in 2023?

Yes       1/1

No        1/1

 

"More than a dozen names are being circulated in the race to succeed Kevin McCarthy as Speaker. That number will whittle down to probably a handful by the time voting starts next week, and there is a very clear frontrunner," Krishnamurty said. "Majority Leader Steve Scalise is the most senior and logical replacement, but his battle with blood cancer had cast a major doubt over whether or not he will run. It is notable that Matt Gaetz named Scalise as somebody whom he would consider supporting, thus suggesting this is one of very few candidates who could get support across this very divided caucus.

"Among many rivals, Kevin Hern has signaled he’d be interested and, as Chair of the Republican Study Committee (which includes three-quarters of GOP congressman), appears very plausible. Moreso than confirmed runner Jim Jordan, who would likely be too divisive.

"Several GOP voices have called for Donald Trump to step in but that seems unlikely for various reasons. First, he’s said repeatedly he doesn’t want it. Second, he is tied up with court cases for the foreseeable future. Third, this would be an unconventional Presidential election plan, even by his standards.

"Finally, I wouldn’t completely rule out Hakeem Jeffries. The GOP are so bitterly divided and as McCarthy’s election and defenestration showed, they are far from sure to be capable of uniting around anybody. The longer it continues, the greater chance that a few moderates switch over to the Democrat candidate."

- SportsBetting.ag Press

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