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Vegas Odds for Trump Testimony Before January 6 Commission Not as Long as One Might Think

Written by:
Gilbert Horowitz
Published on:
Oct/17/2022

At -600, the odds of former U.S. President Donald Trump NOT testifying before the January 6 Select Committee on the attack of the Capitol building is hardly a "lock".  The Green Bay Packers were priced around this number to beat the New York Jets in Wisconsin over this past weekend and we all know what happened there.

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The oddsmakers don’t think Donald Trump will comply with the subpoena issued to him last week, nevertheless.

"I think that's going to be a negotiation," Adam Kinzinger, R-Ill., a member of the committee, told ABC News "This Week" anchor George Stephanopoulos. "I'll only address that when we know for sure whether or not the president has tried to push to come in and talk to us live."

"He's made it clear he has nothing to hide, [that's] what he said. So he should come in on the day we asked him to come in. If he pushes off beyond that, we'll figure out what to do next," Kinzinger said.

The former President is yet to state whether he will comply.  The Committee seeks to hear directly from Trump what he knew or did not know leading up to the Jan. 6 attack.

"We made a decision in front of the American people, not behind closed doors, to begin the process of subpoenaing the former president," Kinzinger said on "This Week." "He's required by law to come in. And he can ramble and push back all he wants."

Should Trump decide to testify, the payout would be $35 for every $10 bet.

The number with the minus in front of it is the favorite while the plus number is the underdog. The implied probability for Trump to NOT comply is 85.7%. These odds initially opened at “Yes +120 and “No -160.”

Meanwhile, we are entering the early voting period.  A number of debates are also taking place.

Kari Lake in the Arizona Governor's race is gaining momentum as a key figurehead in the Republican Party, and now she’s a -300 favorite to defeat Katie Hobbs in Arizona’s gubernatorial race.  The Democratic candidate is being criticized for mostly hiding from the media and refusing to debate Lake.

Despite chatter about Lake being added to a presidential ticket as the GOP’s Vice President, the oddsmakers have her well down the nominee list with 40-1 odds.

Republican Vice President Nominee            

Kristi Noem                 +500

Ron DeSantis               +500

Nikki Haley                  +550

Ivanka Trump              +1000

Joni Ernst                    +1200

Marsha Blackburn       +1200

Tom Cotton                 +1200

Josh Hawley                +1400

Tim Scott                     +1400

Ben Carson                  +2500

M. Taylor Greene        +2500

Mark Meadows           +2500

Ted Cruz                      +2800

Cindy Hyde-Smith       +3000

Jim Jordan                   +3000

Marco Rubio               +3000

Mike Pence                 +3000

Tulsi Gabbard              +3000

Lauren Boebert           +3500

Kari Lake                     +4000

Liz Cheney                   +4000

Mike Pompeo             +5000

Candace Owens          +7500

Donald Trump Jr.        +7500

Sarah Palin                  +7500             

Here is a current list of the closest Senate and Governor races, in terms of odds, as we inch closer to the mid-terms.   

Senate

Arizona                      

Mark Kelly (D)             -180

Blake Masters (R)        +140                 

Georgia                      

Raphael Warnock (D)              -220

Herschel Walker (R)                +155                 

Nevada                      

Adam Laxalt (R)                       -200

Catherine Cortez Masto (D)    +150     

Pennsylvania             

John Fetterman (D)                 -180

Mehmet Oz (R)                       +140       

Wisconsin                  

Ron Johnson (R)                      -400

Mandela Barnes (D)                +250

Governor   

Arizona                      

Kari Lake (R)                -300

Katie Hobbs (D)           +200             

Kansas           

Laura Kelly (D)             -130

Derek Schmidt (R)       -110

Nevada                      

Joe Lombardo (R)        -220

Steve Sisolak (D)         +155           

Oregon                       

Christine Drazan (R)    -140

Tina Kotek (D)             +100

Betsy Johnson (I)        +4000         

Wisconsin                  

Tim Michels (R)           -165

Tony Evers (D)             +125

- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com

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