Politics

Latest Iran Conflict Betting Markets as Strait of Hormuz Reopens

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi posted on X that the passage for all commercial vessels through the strait “is declared completely open” with U.S. President Donald Trump making his own announcement via Truth Social.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Fri, 04/17/2026 - 09:59

Powerful Florida Attorney Won't Run for Governor But Will Start His Own Political Party: Latest Odds

Billionaire John Morgan is a co-founder of Morgan & Morgan, which primarily handles plaintiff-side cases, meaning they represent people suing for damages. The firm is based out of Orlando, Florida.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Wed, 04/15/2026 - 18:31

Pete Hegseth Impeached by June 30 Won't Happen But You Can Bet on it

Democrats to file articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth on Wednesday

Submitted by t c jackson on, Wed, 04/15/2026 - 12:37

2028 US Presidential Election Winner Odds Have Gavin Newsom Pulling Ahead of JD Vance

The news cycle could hardly be worse for Donald Trump, J.D. Vance and the Republican Party.

Submitted by Press Release on, Tue, 04/14/2026 - 15:51

Latest US Senate Odds as North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio and Nebraska Shift in Democrats Favor

Nebraska has shifted in favor of the Democrats? Well, sort of... And the odds are getting shorter for the Republicans as well.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Tue, 04/14/2026 - 09:47

Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30 Betting Market

38% of those on Polymarket believe that U.S. President Donald Trump will disparage Pope Leo XIV by the end of April.

Submitted by Gilbert Horowitz on, Mon, 04/13/2026 - 22:05

Trump's Nobel Peace Prize Odds Slide to 16-1

Donald Trump's decision to engage in war with Iran has directly impacted his chances to take home the Nobel Peace Prize in December.

Submitted by Press Release on, Mon, 04/13/2026 - 13:18

Viktor Orban Concedes Defeat as Péter Magyar Becomes Next Prime Minister of Hungary: Payout Odds Were Once 2-1

Péter Magyar will become the next prime minister of Hungary after opening at 2-1 odds. His odds coming into Sunday's election were closer to -250.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sun, 04/12/2026 - 15:45

Strait of Hormuz Betting Markets See Increased Volume as Trump Threatens Full Blockade

Traders were hardly confident that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April with just 14% believing that it will. Close to 50% felt ships would begin to transit through this vital waterway by month's end.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sun, 04/12/2026 - 10:57

Péter Magyar Next Prime Minister of Hungary Odds as Betting Markets Give Him 85 Percent Chance

Péter Magyar appears well on his way to becoming the next prime minister of Hungary. 85% of those trading at Polymarket had him winning the election with nearly $13 million in trades while Viktor Orbán had seen closer to $14 million in trading volume

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sun, 04/12/2026 - 10:42

Will Eric Swalwell Drop Out of California Gubernatorial Race? Latest Odds

"We’re in really crazy territory" were the headlines blaring Saturday morning as bombshell reports had the frontrunner to win the California gubernatorial race, Eric Swalwell, accused of sexual assault.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sat, 04/11/2026 - 11:33

Prediction Markets Now Giving Péter Magyar 70 Percent Chance of Becoming Hungary's Next Prime Minister

Vikto Orban's odds of staying in power in Hungary are getting longer by the minute.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sat, 04/11/2026 - 11:16

Eric Swalwell Odds to Be Elected Next California Governor in Free Fall Over Sexual Assault Allegations

The San Francisco Chronicle reported Friday that a woman said Swalwell sexually assaulted her in 2019 and 2024 as his odds shift considerably from -300 to 18-1

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sat, 04/11/2026 - 10:26

Viktor Orban Odds of Being Re-Elected in Hungary Crash as Peter Magyar Favored at Gambling Sites

JD Vance traveled to Budapest this week, hoping to sway Hungary's General Election where long-serving Prime Minister Viktor Orban is an underdog in the race.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Fri, 04/10/2026 - 11:36

Trump Announces End of Military Operations Against Iran by? Betting Market

A US, Israel and Iran agreement to a 2-week ceasefire announced Tuesday night remains unclear and some attacks continue.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Wed, 04/08/2026 - 11:38

Next Supreme Court Justice Odds Lists 18 Candidates

Last week, it was confirmed that Justice Samuel Alito received medical attention after falling ill last month.

Submitted by Press Release on, Mon, 04/06/2026 - 19:40

Wisconsin Voters Risk Ballots Being Tossed Over Election Betting

“I know it’s all the rage to bet on everything, but you cannot bet on an election in Wisconsin! If you do, your ballot can be challenged & thrown out," Chair Ann Jacobs posted on her social media account.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Sat, 04/04/2026 - 22:14

Kash Patel Out By...? Betting Market Has Nearly Half of Traders Believing He's Gone End of June

Reports began surfacing on Friday that US President Donald Trump could be considering further firings. Next on the chopping block? FBI Director Kash Patel?

Submitted by Gilbert Horowitz on, Fri, 04/03/2026 - 19:02

Pete Hegseth Next Out Odds: Payout Would Be $600 for Every $400 Bet

Nearly one month after Kristi Noem's firing, Pam Bondi is reportedly out as U.S. Attorney General.

Submitted by Press Release on, Thu, 04/02/2026 - 19:11

Pam Bondi Ousted: Prediction Markets Move Above 85 Percent Chance Thursday

The payout would be $450 for every $100 bet at BetOnline (the latest odds).

Submitted by t c jackson on, Thu, 04/02/2026 - 13:35

Bet If The U.S. Supreme Court Reverse Birthright Citizenship: Greater Odds of Being Struck By Lightning

The Supreme Court seemed poised Wednesday to reject President Donald Trump’s restrictions on birthright citizenship in a momentous case that was magnified by his unparalleled presence in the courtroom.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Wed, 04/01/2026 - 20:33

Kristi Noem Divorce Odds as Husband Identified as Cross Dresser

Bryon Noem and Kristi in better times before Bryon boob pics appeared

Noem chatted up women from the so-called “bimbofication” fetish scene, in which adult performers augment their breasts with massive amounts of saline to achieve a “Barbie doll”-like appearance.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Tue, 03/31/2026 - 20:39

Betting Market Split on When the Strait of Hormuz Will Re-Open

The Iran War is top of mind for seemingly everyone around the world these days.

Submitted by Press Release on, Tue, 03/31/2026 - 13:53

Hot Betting Market: Emmanuel Macron Out By June

French President Emmanuel Macron's term remains constitutionally secure until May 2027, insulated from no-confidence votes that repeatedly target prime ministers amid the hung parliament resulting from 2024 snap legislative elections.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sun, 03/29/2026 - 22:56

US Forces Enter Iran By? Betting Market

While controversial, the prediction market Polymarket continues to offer trading on when US forces enter Iran.

Submitted by Aaron Goldstein on, Sat, 03/28/2026 - 23:28

Oddsmakers: Democrats to Now Take Control of Senate: Talarico Beating Both GOP Candidates in Texas

A months long trend shows what would have been considered inconceivable just nine months ago.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Fri, 03/27/2026 - 14:19

Gamblers Aren't Buying Latest USA Ceasefire Offer as Iran Dismisses it

Iranian state television’s English-language broadcaster quoted an anonymous official Wednesday as saying Iran rejected America’s 15-point ceasefire proposal. The proposal was sent even as Washington deploys paratroopers and more Marines to the region.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Wed, 03/25/2026 - 10:28