Politics

Top Betting Markets: Gamblers Give Noem 51 Percent Chance of Being Out as DHS Secretary by July

Plus Nebraska vs. Michigan in college basketball Tuesday evening and Bills promote Joe Brady to head coach. Betting on the Cleveland Browns next head coach remains in high demand.

Submitted by Gilbert Horowitz on, Tue, 01/27/2026 - 14:15

Kristi Noem Now Heavily Favored to Be Removed at BetOnline

After another ICE shooting in Minnesota, all eyes are on the DHS and its secretary, Kristi Noem.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Tue, 01/27/2026 - 10:42

Trump Cabinet Next to Leave Odds - Noem Now Favored

After another ICE shooting in Minnesota, all eyes are on the DHS and its secretary, Kristi Noem.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Mon, 01/26/2026 - 21:07

Noem Odds of Leaving Trump Administration Double in Recent Days Following Another Shooting

The chances of Kristi Noem ceasing to be the Secretary of Homeland Security by March 31, 2026 have gone from 14% to as high as high as 32% in recent days, nearly double, at the online prediction market Polymarket.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 01/26/2026 - 12:36

Odds of a US Government Shutdown February 1: 'Inevitable' According to Oddsmakers

The YES was coming in at -800. In other words, it's practically guaranteed.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 01/26/2026 - 09:38

Matusow Followers Turn on Poker Player in Wake of Latest Minneapolis ICE Fatal Shooting

Mike Matusow with Make America Great red hat on

Matusow draws sharp criticism for post about incident with around 75% of his followers rebuking him.

Submitted by Nagesh Rath on, Sun, 01/25/2026 - 11:13

Kristi Noem Out By March 31 Odds Still 15 Percent at Polymarket Following Another Fatal ICE Shooting

United State Secretary of Homeland Security is once again under scrutiny following yet another fatal shooting of a US citizen in Minneapolis by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Sat, 01/24/2026 - 19:13

Top Trending: Yasiel Puig Trial Has Gambling911 Readers Tranfixed to Their Electronic Devices

Through Tuesday, massive traffic continued to come into the Gambling911.com site related to the ruckus and arrests outside the Bellagio in Las Vegas Sunday night in.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Thu, 01/22/2026 - 20:33

29 Percent Chance a Deal for the USA to Purchase Greenland From Denmark is Signed by April 1 According to Polymarket

Half a million had been traded thus far at Polymarket as of Thursday afternoon.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Thu, 01/22/2026 - 14:46

Gambling Industry Working Hard to Remove Big Beautiful Bill Gambling Tax: Hearings Held

U.S. Rep. Dina Titus (D-Nev.) presented her FAIR BET Act for inclusion in the legislation, which would allow individuals to deduct 100% of their gambling losses.

Submitted by Gilbert Horowitz on, Thu, 01/22/2026 - 10:19

Marjorie Taylor Greene Replacement Odds for Georgia-14 Special Election

Marjorie Taylor Greene stepped down from her post in Georgia’s 14th Congressional District on January 5.

Submitted by Press Release on, Thu, 01/22/2026 - 10:06

Michele Tafoya's Minnesota Senate Odds; BetOnline First to Post Them

Michele Tafoya on the sidelines of a game

She's at 10-1 odds to be elected Minnesota's next governor.

Submitted by B.E.Delmer on, Wed, 01/21/2026 - 18:33

JD Vance Baby Name, Weight Prop Betting Odds

Second Lady Usha Vance and Vice President JD Vance will welcome their fourth child, a boy, this summer.

Submitted by Press Release on, Wed, 01/21/2026 - 13:00

Musk 2026 Donation Project Odds: Kentucky Senate Race

In January, Elon Musk made a major political splash by donating $10 million to a super PAC supporting Republican Nate Morris, who is a running for the U.S. Senate in Kentucky.

Submitted by Press Release on, Tue, 01/20/2026 - 23:16

2026 Nobel Peace Prize Odds Have Donald Trump Co-Favorite But at 5-1

Trump blacked out with orange background

In a weekend text message to Norway's prime minister, President Donald Trump suggested that his push to acquire Greenland is partly motivated by his disappointment over not winning the Nobel Peace Prize.

Submitted by Press Release on, Tue, 01/20/2026 - 12:22

Greenland Now With 5-2 Odds of Becoming a US State at Betting Markets

An all out invasion is less likely with the No set at 1-10 odds.

Submitted by Press Release on, Thu, 01/15/2026 - 13:56

Jerome Powell Conviction Odds at -1000 Not to Happen, Replacement Betting Market Also Available at BetOnline

US President Donald Trump's probe into Jerome Powell has caused havoc across the political and financial sectors.

Submitted by Press Release on, Wed, 01/14/2026 - 18:41

Noem Numbers Continue to Crater Among Betting Markets

Amid the criticism Kristi Noem has come under since the shooting in Minnesota, the job security of the secretary of homeland security has taken a hit, at least according to Vegas.

Submitted by Payton on, Tue, 01/13/2026 - 07:34

Powell Out as Fed Chair Before May? Just 12 Percent of Gamblers Think So

The Trump administration has threatened to indict Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell over congressional testimony he gave last summer about a Fed building project, But gamblers aren't buying that Powell is going anywhere prior to May of this year.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 01/12/2026 - 09:41

A $400K Payout After Maduro’s Capture Continues to Place Prediction Markets in the Spotlight

“The train has left the station on these event contracts, they’re not going away,” said Melinda Roth, a visiting associate professor at Washington and Lee University’s School of Law.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Sun, 01/11/2026 - 14:04

Ali Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader of Iran? Gambling Markets Say 'No' as Protests, Crackdown Continues

Gamblers remain bearish that Ali Khamenei will be out as Supreme Leader of Iran, even before April 1.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sun, 01/11/2026 - 10:09

Betting Markets Now Have Kristi Noem Favored to Leave Trump Administration Next at 3-1 Odds

Noem's odds remain fluid following a video that went viral of a fatal shooting in Minneapolis on Wednesday involving an Immigration and Customs Enforcement officer,

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Thu, 01/08/2026 - 08:53

Top Trending: John Harbaugh to Coach Which NFL Team Next Odds

Gambling911.com saw 128,113 impressions on Tuesday, 119,396 the day before. Much of this came courtesy of that viral video showing an agitated horse being paraded through a casino.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Wed, 01/07/2026 - 20:56

Odds fon Next US Invasion: Iran Favored, Greenland Long Odds, Venezuela Off Board, Polymarket Controversy

BetOnline not offering odds on Venezuela is telling as one prediction market takes heat for claiming what transpired over the weekend in that Latin American nation was not an "invasion" and won't pay out.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Wed, 01/07/2026 - 15:18

Amy Klobuchar Democratic Nominee for Governor of Minnesota Odds Move to 84 Percent

Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Democrats’ 2024 candidate for vice president, has ended his bid for a third term as governor amid President Donald Trump’s relentless focus on a fraud investigation into child care programs in the state.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Tue, 01/06/2026 - 17:37

Polymarket Says Venezuela Mission Saturday Not an Invasion: Some Traders Attempting to Collect Left Pissed Off

"Then what the f*** would be an invasion?" asked one anonymous angry user on the Polymarket site.

Submitted by Gilbert Horowitz on, Tue, 01/06/2026 - 15:03

Keith Ellison, Steve Simon Toss Up as Democratic Nominee for Minnesota Governor as Tim Walz Drops Out of Race

Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz announced Monday that he is dropping out of the 2026 governor’s race.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 01/05/2026 - 08:35

Betting Markets Mixed Over Who Will Lead Venezuela By Year's End 2026

The next leader of Venezuela is essentially a toss up as far as the betting markets are concerned.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 01/05/2026 - 08:15

Top Trending: Panthers-Bucs Game Props, Miami Heat, Trae Young Odds and More...

BetOnline released odds on Trae Young's next team with the Miami Heat favored. Three of the top five searches coming into Gambling911 were related to the Heat and Young.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Sat, 01/03/2026 - 18:26

Betting Market: Venezuela Invasion, Latest Odds Released by BetOnline

Betting market also opens on a Nicolas Maduro conviction.

Submitted by Press Release on, Sat, 01/03/2026 - 14:47

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